Lucky 2

A case on CSGOCASES (Special cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price.

Price
$14.49
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.77%
241 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
125 openings · below min
30 days
241 openings · below min
since tracking started
241 openings · below min
42.5%77.5%112.5%

Small sample. 241 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1258.06%±14.8—sample
7d12574.21%±11.1—sample
30d24190.77%±21.2—sample
All24190.77%±21.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:38 UTC$14.49—0
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —