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PHOENIX

A case on CSGOCASES (CS2 cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCASES's own item price.

Price
$1.89
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
120.72%
225 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
23 openings · below min
7 days
195 openings · below min
30 days
225 openings · below min
since tracking started
225 openings · below min
40.0%128.0%216.0%

Small sample. 225 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2386.27%±11.9—sample
7d195128.09%±87.2—sample
30d225120.72%±75.6—sample
All225120.72%±75.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOCASES publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOCASES's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Night (Field-Tested)knife · covertG$1.89$16587.47x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspecMofogga$1.89$1.150.61x
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecMofogga$1.89$1.090.58x
Negev | Terrain (Factory New)weapon · mil specMofogga$1.89$2.481.31x
Negev | Terrain (Factory New)weapon · mil specMofogga$1.89$2.481.31x
Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specMofogga$1.89$1.770.94x
Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specgoodsoup$1.89$1.770.94x
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · mil specClick$1.89$1.670.88x
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear)weapon · RareClick$1.89$1.120.59x
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare✪ paSSion$1.89$1.120.59x
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec✪ paSSion$1.89$1.670.88x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:38 UTC$1.89—0
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $165 (87.47x)