Double or Nothing

A case on CSGOCasino, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOCasino's own item price converted from csgocasino coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.87
0.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.54%
30 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
30 openings · below min
30 days
30 openings · below min
since tracking started
30 openings · below min
41.5%70.5%99.5%

Small sample. 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3070.54%±28.4—sample
30d3070.54%±28.4—sample
All3070.54%±28.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOCasino publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOCasino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$1.191.19 CSGOCASINO_COIN1.37x
P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested)weapon · blueJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$0.190.19 CSGOCASINO_COIN0.22x
MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrialJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOCASINO_COIN0.06x
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)weapon · violetJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$0.930.93 CSGOCASINO_COIN1.07x
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · #B0C3D9JamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$0.020.02 CSGOCASINO_COIN0.02x
MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrialJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOCASINO_COIN0.06x
USP-S | PC-GRN (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ffJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$0.140.14 CSGOCASINO_COIN0.16x
MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrialJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOCASINO_COIN0.06x
Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$1.191.19 CSGOCASINO_COIN1.37x
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)weapon · RareJamesGrucha$0.870.87 CSGOCASINO_COIN$0.070.07 CSGOCASINO_COIN0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —