Daredevil

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.39

0.63 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

100.15%

103K openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

112.70%±45.1711.1K openings

7 days

101.41%±13.9373.4K openings

30 days

100.15%±11.19103K openings

since tracking started

100.15%±11.19103K openings

67.0%112.8%158.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	11.1K	112.70%±45.2	—	sample
7d	73.4K	101.41%±13.9	—	sample
30d	103K	100.15%±11.2	—	sample
All	103K	100.15%±11.2	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$0.390.63 coins$9531,551 coins2,462x21h

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$0.390.63 coins$9531,551 coins2,462x2d

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classifiedlimp$0.390.63 coins$9531,551 coins2,462x2d

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classifiedSUPERMARIO$0.390.63 coins$9531,551 coins2,462x5d

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classifiedlangfrans$0.390.63 coins$9531,551 coins2,462x7d

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$0.390.63 coins$62.87102 coins162.4x3h

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$0.390.63 coins$62.87102 coins162.4x6h

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertCsgogogo$0.390.63 coins$62.87102 coins162.4x6h

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$0.390.63 coins$62.87102 coins162.4x11h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x3m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847fffytziii$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x3m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x3m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ffrichmanG$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x3m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x4m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ffToaster$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x4m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x5m

Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear)weapon · LegendaryToaster$0.390.63 coins$4.387.13 coins11.32x5m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x6m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ffToaster$0.390.63 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x6m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $953 (2,462x)