Few Handshakes

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$252.02
410 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.49%
606 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
64 openings · below min
7 days
443 openings · below min
30 days
606 openings · below min
since tracking started
606 openings · below min
67.0%95.5%124.0%

Small sample. 606 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6495.50%±27.8—sample
7d44389.99%±12.3—sample
30d60694.49%±10.9—sample
All60694.49%±10.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$252410 coins$403656 coins1.60x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$252410 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$252410 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$252410 coins$202328 coins0.80x
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$252410 coins$202328 coins0.80x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$252410 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,015 (8.00x)