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Neon

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$587.97
957 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.12%
159 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
120 openings · below min
30 days
159 openings · below min
since tracking started
159 openings · below min
-0.5%73.0%146.5%

Small sample. 159 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h467.00%±79.1—sample
7d12097.05%±24.5—sample
30d15994.12%±19.7—sample
All15994.12%±19.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryfl4ck$588957 coins$5,1988,461 coins8.84x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$588957 coins$5,1988,461 coins8.84x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Rubyxxxloveyou$588957 coins$2,5414,136 coins4.32x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$588957 coins$2,5414,136 coins4.32x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$588957 coins$1,7902,914 coins3.04x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$588957 coins$1,7902,914 coins3.04x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryZordon$588957 coins$1,7902,914 coins3.04x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$588957 coins$1,5012,444 coins2.55x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$588957 coins$1,5012,444 coins2.55x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$588957 coins$1,5012,444 coins2.55x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$588957 coins$9531,551 coins1.62x
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$588957 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$588957 coins$6231,014 coins1.06x
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ffJulekage<3 PT I LIVGARDEN$588957 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink$588957 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink$588957 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$588957 coins$1,2131,974 coins2.06x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classifiedfl4ck$588957 coins$9531,551 coins1.62x
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$588957 coins$6231,014 coins1.06x
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$588957 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,198 (8.84x)