The Aether

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3,115.49
5,072 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
162.90%
64 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
64 openings · below min
30 days
64 openings · below min
since tracking started
64 openings · below min
24.0%163.0%302.0%

Small sample. 64 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d64162.90%±138.2—sample
30d64162.90%±138.2—sample
All64162.90%±138.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,1155,072 coins$138K225,279 coins44.42x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$3,1155,072 coins$20K32,540 coins6.42x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$3,1155,072 coins$11.5K18,673 coins3.68x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$3,1155,072 coins$11.5K18,673 coins3.68x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$3,1155,072 coins$11.5K18,673 coins3.68x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$3,1155,072 coins$11.5K18,673 coins3.68x

Latest dropsnewest first

MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff$3,1155,072 coins$0.090.14 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue$3,1155,072 coins$0.090.14 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue$3,1155,072 coins$0.090.14 coins0.00x
P250 | Forest Night (Field-Tested)weapon · gray$3,1155,072 coins$0.170.28 coins0.00x
P250 | Forest Night (Field-Tested)weapon · gray$3,1155,072 coins$0.170.28 coins0.00x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$3,1155,072 coins$11.5K18,673 coins3.68x
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff$3,1155,072 coins$0.090.14 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $138K (44.42x)