Lover Boy

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.79
6.17 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.28%
18.2K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
985 openings · below min
7 days
89.86%±2.9010.6K openings
30 days
89.28%±2.1818.2K openings
since tracking started
89.28%±2.1818.2K openings
80.5%87.5%94.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h98587.49%±6.50—sample
7d10.6K89.86%±2.90—sample
30d18.2K89.28%±2.18—sample
All18.2K89.28%±2.18—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$3.796.17 coins$210342 coins55.44x

Latest dropsnewest first

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$3.796.17 coins$3.685.99 coins0.97x
Sticker | Goofy (Holo)sticker$3.796.17 coins$0.911.48 coins0.24x
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)weapon · classified$3.796.17 coins$5.518.97 coins1.45x
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$3.796.17 coins$2.143.49 coins0.57x
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)weapon · classified$3.796.17 coins$5.518.97 coins1.45x
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$3.796.17 coins$2.143.49 coins0.57x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $264 (69.75x)