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Dark Knight

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$186.15
303 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.08%
1,135 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
74 openings · below min
7 days
564 openings · below min
30 days
94.08%±11.181,135 openings
since tracking started
94.08%±11.181,135 openings
56.5%86.8%117.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7486.16%±29.1—sample
7d56499.28%±17.3—sample
30d1,13594.08%±11.2—sample
All1,13594.08%±11.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$186303 coins$3,4135,557 coins18.34x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black PearlhaZ$186303 coins$3,4135,557 coins18.34x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$186303 coins$3,4135,557 coins18.34x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$186303 coins$2,7684,506 coins14.87x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classifiedPOA$186303 coins$2,7684,506 coins14.87x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$186303 coins$1,7812,899 coins9.57x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$186303 coins$1,7812,899 coins9.57x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$186303 coins$1,7812,899 coins9.57x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$186303 coins$1,7812,899 coins9.57x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · coverttippow$186303 coins$1,7812,899 coins9.57x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$186303 coins$406661 coins2.18x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumerPrxRan8$186303 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$186303 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff$186303 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff$186303 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumerCrewSader.$186303 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$186303 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$186303 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$186303 coins$406661 coins2.18x
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covertAnnern$186303 coins$314511 coins1.69x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,413 (18.34x)