Fakeshtein

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.10
0.16 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.03%
19.6K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.02%±4.532,647 openings
7 days
90.25%±1.9514.3K openings
30 days
91.03%±1.6719.6K openings
since tracking started
91.03%±1.6719.6K openings
85.0%90.0%95.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,64790.02%±4.53—sample
7d14.3K90.25%±1.95—sample
30d19.6K91.03%±1.67—sample
All19.6K91.03%±1.67—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$0.100.16 coins$0.120.2 coins1.25x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$0.100.16 coins$0.190.31 coins1.94x
MAX WINother$0.100.16 coins$00 coins0.00x
MAX WINother$0.100.16 coins$00 coins0.00x
MAX WINother$0.100.16 coins$00 coins0.00x
MAX WINother$0.100.16 coins$00 coins0.00x
MAX WINotherChris Bumstead$0.100.16 coins$00 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —