Red Inferno

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.20
81.72 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.86%
2,957 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
400 openings · below min
7 days
88.79%±9.672,076 openings
30 days
89.86%±8.332,957 openings
since tracking started
89.86%±8.332,957 openings
78.5%105.0%131.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h400107.53%±23.1—sample
7d2,07688.79%±9.67—sample
30d2,95789.86%±8.33—sample
All2,95789.86%±8.33—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband$50.2081.72 coins$2,4604,005 coins49.01x
M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contrabandKriMiX$50.2081.72 coins$2,4604,005 coins49.01x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$50.2081.72 coins$9841,602 coins19.60x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$50.2081.72 coins$9841,602 coins19.60x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$50.2081.72 coins$9841,602 coins19.60x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$50.2081.72 coins$9841,602 coins19.60x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$50.2081.72 coins$9841,602 coins19.60x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$50.2081.72 coins$9841,602 coins19.60x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$50.2081.72 coins$7871,282 coins15.68x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A4 | Mainframe (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff$50.2081.72 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon$50.2081.72 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
M4A4 | Mainframe (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff$50.2081.72 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Red Filigree (Factory New)weapon · restricted$50.2081.72 coins$76.26124 coins1.52x
M4A4 | Mainframe (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff$50.2081.72 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$50.2081.72 coins$59.0496.12 coins1.18x
Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon$50.2081.72 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon$50.2081.72 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,460 (49.01x)