Airport Incident

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$14.78
24.06 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.07%
8,002 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
94.07%±38.541,032 openings
7 days
93.83%±11.205,917 openings
30 days
93.07%±8.838,002 openings
since tracking started
93.07%±8.838,002 openings
55.0%94.3%133.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,03294.07%±38.5—sample
7d5,91793.83%±11.2—sample
30d8,00293.07%±8.83—sample
All8,00293.07%±8.83—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$14.7824.06 coins$2,8084,571 coins190.0x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$14.7824.06 coins$2,8084,571 coins190.0x
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classifiedClock it$14.7824.06 coins$7691,251 coins52.00x
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified$14.7824.06 coins$7691,251 coins52.00x
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified$14.7824.06 coins$7691,251 coins52.00x
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classifiedscythe user$14.7824.06 coins$7691,251 coins52.00x

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Business Class (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$14.7824.06 coins$66.51108 coins4.50x
Deportedother$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x
Deportedother$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x
DeportedotherArnold$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x
Deportedother$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x
Deportedother$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x
Deportedother$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x
DeportedotherPrxRan8$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x
Deportedother$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x
DeportedotherBENHUR$14.7824.06 coins$00 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,808 (190.0x)