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A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9.14
14.88 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.08%
10.7K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
87.61%±9.231,051 openings
7 days
91.83%±4.777,289 openings
30 days
92.08%±4.2910.7K openings
since tracking started
92.08%±4.2910.7K openings
77.5%87.5%97.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,05187.61%±9.23—sample
7d7,28991.83%±4.77—sample
30d10.7K92.08%±4.29—sample
All10.7K92.08%±4.29—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$9.1414.88 coins$7671,249 coins83.91x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$9.1414.88 coins$7671,249 coins83.91x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedRakkim$9.1414.88 coins$7671,249 coins83.91x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · pink$9.1414.88 coins$12.0319.59 coins1.32x
G3SG1 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)weapon$9.1414.88 coins$1.722.8 coins0.19x
Sawed-Off | Serenity (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$9.1414.88 coins$0.861.4 coins0.09x
G3SG1 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)weaponLehe Deje$9.1414.88 coins$1.722.8 coins0.19x
G3SG1 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)weapon$9.1414.88 coins$1.722.8 coins0.19x
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$9.1414.88 coins$14.1823.09 coins1.55x
MAC-10 | Tatter (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedShreek$9.1414.88 coins$5.859.52 coins0.64x
G3SG1 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)weaponYung Murr$9.1414.88 coins$1.722.8 coins0.19x
Sawed-Off | Serenity (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ffhellish$9.1414.88 coins$0.861.4 coins0.09x
G3SG1 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)weaponhellish$9.1414.88 coins$1.722.8 coins0.19x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $767 (83.91x)