Dream Knife

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$160.73

262 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

78.08%

1,929 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

274 openings · below min

7 days

80.57%±16.691,145 openings

30 days

78.08%±12.831,929 openings

since tracking started

78.08%±12.831,929 openings

44.5%82.5%120.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	274	82.52%±37.5	—	sample
7d	1,145	80.57%±16.7	—	sample
30d	1,929	78.08%±12.8	—	sample
All	1,929	78.08%±12.8	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$161262 coins$5,4848,928 coins34.12x5h

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$161262 coins$5,4848,928 coins34.12x8d

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$161262 coins$4,1096,689 coins25.56x4d

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire李昱李昱不要來$161262 coins$4,1096,689 coins25.56x5d

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$161262 coins$4,1096,689 coins25.56x6d

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphireguppieonetwoseven$161262 coins$4,1096,689 coins25.56x6d

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$161262 coins$4,1096,689 coins25.56x8d

★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$161262 coins$3,1515,130 coins19.60x14h

★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$161262 coins$3,1515,130 coins19.60x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x1h

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$161262 coins$8821,436 coins5.49x1h

Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialTHE MYTH$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x1h

MP7 | Sunbaked (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x5h

Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x5h

P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x5h

MP7 | Sunbaked (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x5h

Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x5h

P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x5h

Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$161262 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x5h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,484 (34.12x)