Red Alert

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.09
0.14 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
76.65%
27.4K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
74.79%±4.562,554 openings
7 days
74.46%±1.6817.6K openings
30 days
76.65%±2.3127.4K openings
since tracking started
76.65%±2.3127.4K openings
69.5%74.8%80.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,55474.79%±4.56—sample
7d17.6K74.46%±1.68—sample
30d27.4K76.65%±2.31—sample
All27.4K76.65%±2.31—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P2000 | Imperial (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$0.090.14 coins$0.190.31 coins2.21x
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.090.14 coins$0.050.08 coins0.57x
SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$0.090.14 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.07x
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.090.14 coins$0.050.08 coins0.57x
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.090.14 coins$0.050.08 coins0.57x
MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.090.14 coins$0.110.18 coins1.29x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —