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Book of Vlad$24.00120.0xFloating Dragon$10.90108.7xBlackjack$7,5002.00xSpeed Baccarat X$4,0042.00xFlip$5,0121.96xGamdom Privé Blackjack 1$1,4402.48xDice$4,9501.10xClash of Gods: Power Duel$2,00012.50xAztec Clusters$3031,090xSweet Rush Bonanza$1,1372.27xCrash$2,0514.10xSpeed VIP Blackjack X$1,6011.27xPlinko$1,312100.0xWizard 2000$14.6K290.9xBig Wild Buffalo$67.10134.2xBuried By Night$56.51100.4xUpgrader$1,1903.81xClash of Gods: Power Duel$1,1777.35xMahjong Ways$3,334185.1xGates of Olympus 2500$518106.1xThe Luxe H.V.$2,00010.00xBlackjack$30K2.00xSalon Privé Blackjack G$4,4392.00xBlackjack$30K2.00x

Fly High

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$439.36
715 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.10%
238 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
20 openings · below min
7 days
159 openings · below min
30 days
238 openings · below min
since tracking started
238 openings · below min
49.5%98.0%146.5%

Small sample. 238 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2097.99%±47.7—sample
7d15970.99%±17.6—sample
30d23895.10%±25.9—sample
All23895.10%±25.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · SapphireThatri Lawyer Comeback$439715 coins$9,84116,020 coins22.40x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$439715 coins$4,7487,730 coins10.81x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryThatri Lawyer Comeback$439715 coins$4,7487,730 coins10.81x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$439715 coins$3,2975,367 coins7.50x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4doug$439715 coins$2,1163,444 coins4.82x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$439715 coins$2,1163,444 coins4.82x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$439715 coins$1,5842,579 coins3.61x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$439715 coins$1,5842,579 coins3.61x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$439715 coins$1,5842,579 coins3.61x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertcallmekosmos$439715 coins$1,5842,579 coins3.61x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$439715 coins$1,2302,002 coins2.80x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$439715 coins$1,2302,002 coins2.80x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$439715 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$439715 coins$1,0821,762 coins2.46x
★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$439715 coins$590961 coins1.34x
AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$439715 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · gold$439715 coins$7381,201 coins1.68x
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · gold$439715 coins$7381,201 coins1.68x
AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$439715 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$439715 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,841 (22.40x)