Faded

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$30.67
49.93 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.78%
10K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
973 openings · below min
7 days
88.86%±10.886,660 openings
30 days
87.78%±8.3210K openings
since tracking started
87.78%±8.3210K openings
77.5%113.0%148.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h973113.48%±34.4—sample
7d6,66088.86%±10.9—sample
30d10K87.78%±8.32—sample
All10K87.78%±8.32—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6749.93 coins$2,9374,781 coins95.75x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6749.93 coins$2,9374,781 coins95.75x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertAl3X086$30.6749.93 coins$2,9374,781 coins95.75x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6749.93 coins$2,9374,781 coins95.75x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertsticka$30.6749.93 coins$2,9374,781 coins95.75x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6749.93 coins$2,9374,781 coins95.75x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6749.93 coins$2,9374,781 coins95.75x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6749.93 coins$2,9374,781 coins95.75x
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary$30.6749.93 coins$1,4992,440 coins48.87x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$30.6749.93 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecA Tèo$30.6749.93 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$30.6749.93 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$30.6749.93 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$30.6749.93 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecA Tèo$30.6749.93 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6749.93 coins$150244 coins4.89x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$30.6749.93 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6749.93 coins$170277 coins5.55x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecA Tèo$30.6749.93 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,937 (95.75x)