Deviate

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.58
10.71 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.78%
34.9K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.17%±13.743,512 openings
7 days
91.82%±5.4925.5K openings
30 days
91.78%±4.7334.9K openings
since tracking started
91.78%±4.7334.9K openings
76.0%90.3%104.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3,51290.17%±13.7—sample
7d25.5K91.82%±5.49—sample
30d34.9K91.78%±4.73—sample
All34.9K91.78%±4.73—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$6.5810.71 coins$7421,208 coins112.7x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$6.5810.71 coins$7421,208 coins112.7x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$6.5810.71 coins$7421,208 coins112.7x
★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$6.5810.71 coins$484787 coins73.53x
★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$6.5810.71 coins$484787 coins73.53x
★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$6.5810.71 coins$484787 coins73.53x
★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$6.5810.71 coins$484787 coins73.53x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff$6.5810.71 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert$6.5810.71 coins$129210 coins19.61x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $742 (112.7x)