Marbled

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$399.33
650 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.48%
1,174 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
114 openings · below min
7 days
856 openings · below min
30 days
89.48%±3.291,174 openings
since tracking started
89.48%±3.291,174 openings
81.0%91.0%101.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h11491.17%±9.41—sample
7d85689.00%±4.02—sample
30d1,17489.48%±3.29—sample
All1,17489.48%±3.29—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contraband$399650 coins$2,9184,750 coins7.31x
★ Flip Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$399650 coins$7391,203 coins1.85x
★ Flip Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$399650 coins$7391,203 coins1.85x
★ Flip Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$399650 coins$7391,203 coins1.85x
★ Flip Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$399650 coins$7391,203 coins1.85x

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,918 (7.31x)