Match Surrendered

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$20.27
33 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.57%
4,316 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
471 openings · below min
7 days
87.70%±6.153,054 openings
30 days
92.57%±5.814,316 openings
since tracking started
92.57%±5.814,316 openings
61.5%80.3%99.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h47177.21%±14.8—sample
7d3,05487.70%±6.15—sample
30d4,31692.57%±5.81—sample
All4,31692.57%±5.81—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Fr*nch Flagothereliteking$20.2733 coins$1,0341,683 coins51.00x

Latest dropsnewest first

FAMAS | Meltdown (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$20.2733 coins$33.2954.19 coins1.64x
FAMAS | Meltdown (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$20.2733 coins$33.2954.19 coins1.64x
Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White)graffiti · Graffiti$20.2733 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White)graffiti · Graffiti$20.2733 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White)graffiti · Graffiti$20.2733 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meltdown (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$20.2733 coins$33.2954.19 coins1.64x
Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White)graffiti · Graffiti$20.2733 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Puke (Shark White)graffiti · GraffitiA$20.2733 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,034 (51.00x)