Mystery Knife
A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$25.38
41.32 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.82%
10.3K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4Spinerok$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4Al3X086$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4MorbidAngel$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4S1peed$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$25.3841.32 coins$2,7524,480 coins108.4x
Latest dropsnewest first
Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red)graffiti · CommonLukaritosa111$25.3841.32 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Brick Red)graffiti · CommonLukaritosa111$25.3841.32 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,752 (108.4x)