Police Raid
A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,913.34
3,115 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.67%
197 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 197 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,9133,115 coins$15.7K25,532 coins8.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,9133,115 coins$15.7K25,532 coins8.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,9133,115 coins$15.7K25,532 coins8.20x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,9133,115 coins$9,59515,619 coins5.01x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,9133,115 coins$9,59515,619 coins5.01x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,9133,115 coins$7,38112,015 coins3.86x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,9133,115 coins$7,38112,015 coins3.86x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyhaZ$1,9133,115 coins$7,38112,015 coins3.86x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,9133,115 coins$7,38112,015 coins3.86x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,9133,115 coins$7,38112,015 coins3.86x
Latest dropsnewest first
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2Julekage<3 PT I LIVGARDEN$1,9133,115 coins$0.100.17 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $15.7K (8.20x)