Mother Nature
A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$255.93
417 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.83%
990 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 990 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emeraldmeo$256417 coins$4,1826,808 coins16.34x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$256417 coins$3,4445,607 coins13.46x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$256417 coins$3,4445,607 coins13.46x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$256417 coins$3,4445,607 coins13.46x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$256417 coins$2,5094,085 coins9.81x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2Lara$256417 coins$2,5094,085 coins9.81x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$256417 coins$2,5094,085 coins9.81x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2meo$256417 coins$2,5094,085 coins9.81x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$256417 coins$2,5094,085 coins9.81x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2Vespasprint180$256417 coins$2,5094,085 coins9.81x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · gold · Phase 4$256417 coins$394641 coins1.54x
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$256417 coins$271441 coins1.06x
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · gold · Phase 4$256417 coins$394641 coins1.54x
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · gold · Phase 4$256417 coins$394641 coins1.54x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $4,182 (16.34x)