Death To Monarch

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$496.34
808 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.88%
180 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
115 openings · below min
30 days
180 openings · below min
since tracking started
180 openings · below min
-0.5%133.8%268.0%

Small sample. 180 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12127.44%±139.8—sample
7d11589.27%±29.0—sample
30d18087.88%±22.2—sample
All18087.88%±22.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$496808 coins$3,9216,383 coins7.90x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$496808 coins$2,7804,525 coins5.60x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$496808 coins$2,7804,525 coins5.60x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$496808 coins$2,2343,636 coins4.50x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$496808 coins$2,2343,636 coins4.50x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Tiger Orange)graffiti$496808 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Tiger Orange)graffiti$496808 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$496808 coins$8931,454 coins1.80x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$496808 coins$3,9216,383 coins7.90x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$496808 coins$2,2343,636 coins4.50x
Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Tiger Orange)graffiti$496808 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)weapon · covert$496808 coins$145237 coins0.29x
Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Tiger Orange)graffiti$496808 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,921 (7.90x)