Primal Instinct

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$10.04
16.35 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.76%
10.6K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
88.26%±8.011,356 openings
7 days
88.94%±3.877,121 openings
30 days
91.76%±4.2510.6K openings
since tracking started
91.76%±4.2510.6K openings
79.5%88.3%97.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,35688.26%±8.01—sample
7d7,12188.94%±3.87—sample
30d10.6K91.76%±4.25—sample
All10.6K91.76%±4.25—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Negev | Lionfish (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 3$10.0416.35 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$10.0416.35 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Negev | Lionfish (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 3$10.0416.35 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Negev | Lionfish (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 3henern$10.0416.35 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Negev | Lionfish (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 3$10.0416.35 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · coverthenern$10.0416.35 coins$20.6633.63 coins2.06x
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)weapon · classified$10.0416.35 coins$23.7038.58 coins2.36x
Negev | Lionfish (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 3$10.0416.35 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Negev | Lionfish (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 3Ziris$10.0416.35 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $933 (92.91x)