Blood Moon

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9.81
15.97 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.14%
9,082 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
940 openings · below min
7 days
93.79%±4.405,884 openings
30 days
92.14%±2.979,082 openings
since tracking started
92.14%±2.979,082 openings
86.0%92.8%99.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h94092.65%±6.01—sample
7d5,88493.79%±4.40—sample
30d9,08292.14%±2.97—sample
All9,08292.14%±2.97—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$9.8115.97 coins$8421,371 coins85.84x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$9.8115.97 coins$11.8919.36 coins1.21x
USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red$9.8115.97 coins$10.1416.5 coins1.03x
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · restricted$9.8115.97 coins$14.0722.9 coins1.43x
USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red$9.8115.97 coins$10.1416.5 coins1.03x
AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$9.8115.97 coins$14.8624.19 coins1.51x
MAG-7 | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialCask4$9.8115.97 coins$12.7320.73 coins1.30x
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New)weapon · RareCask4$9.8115.97 coins$0.180.29 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $842 (85.84x)