Bloodshed

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$227.12

370 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

103.64%

461 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

72 openings · below min

7 days

342 openings · below min

30 days

461 openings · below min

since tracking started

461 openings · below min

59.5%94.0%128.5%

Small sample. 461 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	72	87.26%±27.2	—	sample
7d	342	90.73%±14.0	—	sample
30d	461	103.64%±24.2	—	sample
All	461	103.64%±24.2	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$227370 coins$11.1K18,014 coins48.72x8d

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$227370 coins$3,1835,182 coins14.02x7d

★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$227370 coins$2,4373,968 coins10.73x5d

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2Thatri Lawyer Comeback$227370 coins$1,9023,097 coins8.38x5d

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$227370 coins$1,9023,097 coins8.38x6d

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$227370 coins$1,9023,097 coins8.38x8d

★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert$227370 coins$1,4392,342 coins6.33x8d

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert$227370 coins$1,0181,657 coins4.48x2h

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covertCornelius Crinklebottom Jr$227370 coins$1,0181,657 coins4.48x8h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$227370 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x52m

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert$227370 coins$375611 coins1.65x52m

USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$227370 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x52m

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryNegev goes BRR$227370 coins$259422 coins1.14x52m

★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2Negev goes BRR$227370 coins$509828 coins2.24x52m

USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$227370 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x58m

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$227370 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x58m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $11.1K (48.72x)