Armed Conflict

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.69
1.12 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.80%
13K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.14%±4.801,384 openings
7 days
90.24%±2.909,821 openings
30 days
89.80%±2.2913K openings
since tracking started
89.80%±2.2913K openings
84.5%90.0%95.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,38490.14%±4.80—sample
7d9,82190.24%±2.90—sample
30d13K89.80%±2.29—sample
All13K89.80%±2.29—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert$0.691.12 coins$81.13132 coins117.9x

Latest dropsnewest first

Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.691.12 coins$0.921.5 coins1.34x
MP9 | Army Sheen (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.691.12 coins$0.180.29 coins0.26x
AUG | Amber Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.691.12 coins$0.791.29 coins1.15x
P2000 | Handgun (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$0.691.12 coins$0.851.38 coins1.23x
P2000 | Handgun (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$0.691.12 coins$0.851.38 coins1.23x
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.691.12 coins$0.921.5 coins1.34x
MP9 | Army Sheen (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.691.12 coins$0.180.29 coins0.26x
P250 | Supernova (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$0.691.12 coins$1.161.89 coins1.69x
MP7 | Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #eb4b4b$0.691.12 coins$0.961.56 coins1.39x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $81.13 (117.9x)