Lucky Dip

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.61
9.14 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.80%
10.5K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
75.41%±14.131,048 openings
7 days
85.24%±7.597,236 openings
30 days
85.80%±6.4110.5K openings
since tracking started
85.80%±6.4110.5K openings
60.5%77.0%93.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,04875.41%±14.1—sample
7d7,23685.24%±7.59—sample
30d10.5K85.80%±6.41—sample
All10.5K85.80%±6.41—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$5.619.14 coins$299486 coins53.22x
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$5.619.14 coins$299486 coins53.22x
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$5.619.14 coins$299486 coins53.22x
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$5.619.14 coins$299486 coins53.22x
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$5.619.14 coins$299486 coins53.22x
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$5.619.14 coins$299486 coins53.22x

Latest dropsnewest first

AUG | Colony (Factory New)weapon · Consumer$5.619.14 coins$5.929.64 coins1.05x
AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$5.619.14 coins$6.2910.24 coins1.12x
AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)weapon · restricted$5.619.14 coins$6.8311.12 coins1.22x
AUG | Colony (Factory New)weapon · Consumer$5.619.14 coins$5.929.64 coins1.05x
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$5.619.14 coins$0.400.65 coins0.07x
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$5.619.14 coins$0.400.65 coins0.07x
AUG | Colony (Factory New)weapon · Consumer-Raw0$5.619.14 coins$5.929.64 coins1.05x
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested)weapon · restricteddoug$5.619.14 coins$0.400.65 coins0.07x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $299 (53.22x)