Freaky Felix

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$42.81

69.69 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

92.78%

5,244 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

342 openings · below min

7 days

92.67%±8.763,433 openings

30 days

92.78%±7.055,244 openings

since tracking started

92.78%±7.055,244 openings

61.0%86.8%112.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	342	86.86%±25.0	—	sample
7d	3,433	92.67%±8.76	—	sample
30d	5,244	92.78%±7.05	—	sample
All	5,244	92.78%±7.05	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New)weapon · classifiedxDANO$42.8169.69 coins$2,0923,405 coins48.86x3d

MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New)weapon · classified$42.8169.69 coins$2,0923,405 coins48.86x6d

MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New)weapon · classified-AlkatraZ-$42.8169.69 coins$2,0923,405 coins48.86x8d

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryLukaritosa111$42.8169.69 coins$1,0741,748 coins25.08x11h

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$42.8169.69 coins$1,0741,748 coins25.08x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$42.8169.69 coins$1,0741,748 coins25.08x6d

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryDunston$42.8169.69 coins$1,0741,748 coins25.08x6d

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$42.8169.69 coins$1,0741,748 coins25.08x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sealed Graffiti | Choke (Bazooka Pink)graffiti$42.8169.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x2m

Sealed Graffiti | Choke (Bazooka Pink)graffitiSkarv3n$42.8169.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x2m

Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified$42.8169.69 coins$50.6082.38 coins1.18x30m

Sealed Graffiti | Choke (Bazooka Pink)graffitizayn$42.8169.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x30m

Sealed Graffiti | Choke (Bazooka Pink)graffiti$42.8169.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x30m

Sealed Graffiti | Choke (Bazooka Pink)graffiti$42.8169.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x33m

USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New)weapon · classified$42.8169.69 coins$174283 coins4.06x33m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,092 (48.86x)