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Desert Bandit

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.28
10.22 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.68%
12.6K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
81.03%±8.221,366 openings
7 days
92.93%±5.588,692 openings
30 days
92.68%±4.3712.6K openings
since tracking started
92.68%±4.3712.6K openings
72.0%85.5%99.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,36681.03%±8.22—sample
7d8,69292.93%±5.58—sample
30d12.6K92.68%±4.37—sample
All12.6K92.68%±4.37—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$6.2810.22 coins$572931 coins91.11x
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$6.2810.22 coins$572931 coins91.11x
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covertbulshido$6.2810.22 coins$572931 coins91.11x
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covertmמrchello$6.2810.22 coins$572931 coins91.11x
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$6.2810.22 coins$572931 coins91.11x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$6.2810.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$6.2810.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Sand Scale (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$6.2810.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Sand Scale (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecabubakaka$6.2810.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertjoey-$6.2810.22 coins$12.3020.02 coins1.96x
SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · CommonJvfr$6.2810.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$6.2810.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ffNiki$6.2810.22 coins$6.7611.01 coins1.08x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$6.2810.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$6.2810.22 coins$47.3677.1 coins7.54x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $572 (91.11x)