Asiimov

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$1.58

2.57 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

88.54%

32.2K openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

82.77%±4.854,050 openings

7 days

87.38%±2.5825K openings

30 days

88.54%±2.4232.2K openings

since tracking started

88.54%±2.4232.2K openings

77.5%84.5%91.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	4,050	82.77%±4.85	—	sample
7d	25K	87.38%±2.58	—	sample
30d	32.2K	88.54%±2.42	—	sample
All	32.2K	88.54%±2.42	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covertLalaLand$1.582.57 coins$184300 coins116.8x1d

AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert$1.582.57 coins$184300 coins116.8x5d

AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert$1.582.57 coins$184300 coins116.8x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$1.582.57 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x10m

MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$1.582.57 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x10m

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$1.582.57 coins$3.846.25 coins2.43x10m

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial$1.582.57 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x10m

Dual Berettas | Demolition (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$1.582.57 coins$4.928.01 coins3.12x10m

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedEROLTY$1.582.57 coins$2.464.01 coins1.56x10m

MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specEROLTY$1.582.57 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x10m

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueEROLTY$1.582.57 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x10m

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrialMohammad El Bazi$1.582.57 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x10m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $184 (116.8x)