Birds Of Prey

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$65.11
106 coins
Advertised RTP
91.20%
EV $59.39 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby1 in 5,000$5,111 8,320 coins1.7%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 2,000$2,300 3,744 coins1.9%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 11 in 714$920 1,498 coins2.2%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 500$703 1,144 coins2.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 200$569 926 coins4.8%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 154$434 707 coins4.8%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 119$313 509 coins4.4%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 100$223 364 coins3.8%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 40$169 276 coins7.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 26$147 239 coins9.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 20$121 198 coins10.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 18$109 177 coins10.4%00.0—
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 14$86.24 140 coins10.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 10$73.43 120 coins12.2%00.0—
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert12.4%$67.07 109 coins14.1%00.0—
Graffiti | Hop (Brick Red)graffiti20.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
Graffiti | Take Flight (Brick Red)graffiti30.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance, 13 Nov, 02:19 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:38 UTC$65.1191.20%17
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 39.1%Covert 0.2%covert knife 0.8%restricted 9.9%other 50.0%