Bishop
A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$12,836.88
20,897 coins
Advertised RTP
91.20%
EV $11,707.23 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert knife | 1 in 250 | $164K 266,531 coins | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 91 | $107K 174,257 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Titan (Holo)sticker | 1 in 57 | $89.4K 145,553 coins | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo)sticker | 1 in 36 | $65.5K 106,605 coins | 15.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo)sticker | 1 in 22 | $40.3K 65,608 coins | 15.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 18 | $29.6K 48,176 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary | 1 in 12 | $15.7K 25,627 coins | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | s1mple (Gold)sticker | 11.4% | $8,817 14,354 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert | 14.2% | $5,040 8,205 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A1-S | VariCamo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec | 50.0% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $12.8K | 91.20% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 0.4%classified 1.1%other 20.5%extraordinary 5.5%legendary 8.3%covert 14.2%mil spec 50.0%