Shootout

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$25.86
42.1 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.39%
6,751 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
655 openings · below min
7 days
94.34%±11.404,653 openings
30 days
98.39%±10.266,751 openings
since tracking started
98.39%±10.266,751 openings
46.5%78.0%109.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h65577.65%±30.7—sample
7d4,65394.34%±11.4—sample
30d6,75198.39%±10.3—sample
All6,75198.39%±10.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · coverthuybt$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covertGabbinator$25.8642.1 coins$2,5184,100 coins97.38x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertKarouko$25.8642.1 coins$1,2582,048 coins48.64x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Bock Bock (Shark White)graffitiNknk$25.8642.1 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Bock Bock (Shark White)graffiti$25.8642.1 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Bock Bock (Shark White)graffiti$25.8642.1 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient$25.8642.1 coins$37.1460.46 coins1.44x
Sealed Graffiti | Thoughtfull (Shark White)graffitiBocaaj$25.8642.1 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$30.5449.71 coins1.18x
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$25.8642.1 coins$35.0457.05 coins1.36x
Sealed Graffiti | Bock Bock (Shark White)graffiti$25.8642.1 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Bock Bock (Shark White)graffiti$25.8642.1 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,518 (97.38x)