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Jackpot

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.88
19.34 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.96%
21.9K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.34%±9.942,645 openings
7 days
93.21%±6.4216.8K openings
30 days
91.96%±5.5521.9K openings
since tracking started
91.96%±5.5521.9K openings
79.5%90.3%101.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,64590.34%±9.94—sample
7d16.8K93.21%±6.42—sample
30d21.9K91.96%±5.55—sample
All21.9K91.96%±5.55—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert18H36$11.8819.34 coins$1,7802,898 coins149.9x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$11.8819.34 coins$1,7802,898 coins149.9x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covertBENHUR$11.8819.34 coins$1,7802,898 coins149.9x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covertLars$11.8819.34 coins$1,7802,898 coins149.9x
AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covertYoutube - Bozz6658$11.8819.34 coins$1,7802,898 coins149.9x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertNimo$11.8819.34 coins$1,0091,642 coins84.91x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertZehir$11.8819.34 coins$1,0091,642 coins84.91x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertTr1pz$11.8819.34 coins$1,0091,642 coins84.91x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$11.8819.34 coins$1,0091,642 coins84.91x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$11.8819.34 coins$1,0091,642 coins84.91x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$11.8819.34 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$11.8819.34 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$11.8819.34 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ffBlack$11.8819.34 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$11.8819.34 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ffralphonso$11.8819.34 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$11.8819.34 coins$40.3565.69 coins3.40x
P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ffRehtori$11.8819.34 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$11.8819.34 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)weapon · covert$11.8819.34 coins$22.5536.71 coins1.90x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,780 (149.9x)