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Greedy Gamblers

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$31.94
52 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.05%
3,795 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
300 openings · below min
7 days
87.43%±10.082,499 openings
30 days
87.05%±8.593,795 openings
since tracking started
87.05%±8.593,795 openings
48.5%108.7%169.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h300108.74%±59.7—sample
7d2,49987.43%±10.1—sample
30d3,79587.05%±8.59—sample
All3,79587.05%±8.59—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$31.9452 coins$2,7684,506 coins86.66x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$31.9452 coins$2,7684,506 coins86.66x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertbrueckner-paul$31.9452 coins$1,5142,465 coins47.39x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$31.9452 coins$521849 coins16.32x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3Yolo123$31.9452 coins$521849 coins16.32x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$31.9452 coins$521849 coins16.32x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinarydoug$31.9452 coins$45.6174.25 coins1.43x
PP-Bizon | Runic (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ffJofen$31.9452 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
P250 | Cassette (Well-Worn)weapon · 1$31.9452 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryseb$31.9452 coins$45.6174.25 coins1.43x
P250 | Cassette (Well-Worn)weapon · 1$31.9452 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$31.9452 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$31.9452 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
P250 | Cassette (Well-Worn)weapon · 1JakeTheDawg$31.9452 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspechuuvu210104$31.9452 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x
P250 | Cassette (Well-Worn)weapon · 1$31.9452 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,768 (86.66x)