Man

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$34.55
56.25 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.88%
2,428 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
234 openings · below min
7 days
96.74%±22.651,561 openings
30 days
89.88%±15.332,428 openings
since tracking started
89.88%±15.332,428 openings
46.5%83.3%120.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h23467.04%±19.7—sample
7d1,56196.74%±22.7—sample
30d2,42889.88%±15.3—sample
All2,42889.88%±15.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Grim's Cowother$34.5556.25 coins$3,1785,173 coins91.97x
Grim's Cowother$34.5556.25 coins$3,1785,173 coins91.97x
Grim's Cowother$34.5556.25 coins$3,1785,173 coins91.97x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$34.5556.25 coins$1,1051,799 coins31.99x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$34.5556.25 coins$1,1051,799 coins31.99x
★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$34.5556.25 coins$6911,125 coins19.99x
★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$34.5556.25 coins$6911,125 coins19.99x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial$34.5556.25 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$34.5556.25 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$34.5556.25 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert$34.5556.25 coins$55.2789.97 coins1.60x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$34.5556.25 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$34.5556.25 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$34.5556.25 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial$34.5556.25 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,178 (91.97x)