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Golden Ticket

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,248.10
2,032 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
79.96%
195 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
172 openings · below min
30 days
195 openings · below min
since tracking started
195 openings · below min
-0.5%60.3%121.0%

Small sample. 195 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h440.66%±79.7—sample
7d17283.35%±28.8—sample
30d19579.96%±25.9—sample
All19579.96%±25.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo)sticker$1,2482,032 coins$19.7K32,040 coins15.77x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband$1,2482,032 coins$15.4K25,031 coins12.32x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,2482,032 coins$6,76511,014 coins5.42x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,2482,032 coins$6,76511,014 coins5.42x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,2482,032 coins$6,76511,014 coins5.42x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$1,2482,032 coins$5,0438,210 coins4.04x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$1,2482,032 coins$5,0438,210 coins4.04x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$1,2482,032 coins$5,0438,210 coins4.04x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$1,2482,032 coins$5,0438,210 coins4.04x
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker$1,2482,032 coins$4,7977,810 coins3.84x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$1,2482,032 coins$0.040.06 coins0.00x
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$1,2482,032 coins$0.040.06 coins0.00x
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$1,2482,032 coins$0.070.11 coins0.00x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertJulekage<3 PT I LIVGARDEN$1,2482,032 coins$2,0303,304 coins1.63x
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$1,2482,032 coins$0.070.11 coins0.00x
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$1,2482,032 coins$0.070.11 coins0.00x
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$1,2482,032 coins$0.070.11 coins0.00x
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covertxxxloveyou$1,2482,032 coins$3,0755,006 coins2.46x
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$1,2482,032 coins$0.070.11 coins0.00x
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$1,2482,032 coins$0.070.11 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $19.7K (15.77x)