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Wildfire

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.82
1.33 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.18%
27.8K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
73.07%±12.512,717 openings
7 days
90.49%±6.5421.9K openings
30 days
88.18%±5.6027.8K openings
since tracking started
88.18%±5.6027.8K openings
60.0%78.8%97.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,71773.07%±12.5—sample
7d21.9K90.49%±6.54—sample
30d27.8K88.18%±5.60—sample
All27.8K88.18%±5.60—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortallimp$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortallimp$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · ImmortalDHVAC$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · Immortallimp$0.821.33 coins$86.55141 coins105.9x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Re.built (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$0.821.33 coins$0.020.03 coins0.02x
Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$0.821.33 coins$0.020.03 coins0.02x
P250 | Re.built (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$0.821.33 coins$0.020.03 coins0.02x
P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecOtto Tuoni$0.821.33 coins$0.020.03 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$0.821.33 coins$1.161.89 coins1.42x
Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$0.821.33 coins$0.020.03 coins0.02x
Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$0.821.33 coins$0.020.03 coins0.02x
P250 | Re.built (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$0.821.33 coins$0.020.03 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$0.821.33 coins$1.161.89 coins1.42x
Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff$0.821.33 coins$0.020.03 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $86.55 (105.9x)