Desire

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$54.47

88.68 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

89.66%

3,768 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

305 openings · below min

7 days

90.26%±10.812,467 openings

30 days

89.66%±8.763,768 openings

since tracking started

89.66%±8.763,768 openings

63.0%82.3%101.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	305	81.69%±18.3	—	sample
7d	2,467	90.26%±10.8	—	sample
30d	3,768	89.66%±8.76	—	sample
All	3,768	89.66%±8.76	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband$54.4788.68 coins$3,4745,655 coins63.77x3d

M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contrabandolli67$54.4788.68 coins$3,4745,655 coins63.77x8d

AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covertShaking$54.4788.68 coins$2,4053,915 coins44.15x2d

AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$2,4053,915 coins44.15x2d

AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$2,4053,915 coins44.15x3d

AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$2,4053,915 coins44.15x6d

AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$2,4053,915 coins44.15x7d

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$1,3362,175 coins24.53x3d

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertTTHD$54.4788.68 coins$1,3362,175 coins24.53x3d

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$1,3362,175 coins24.53x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient$54.4788.68 coins$66.73109 coins1.22x1h

Graffiti | Piggles (Monster Purple)graffitiCuiudo$54.4788.68 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x1h

M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$88.19144 coins1.62x2h

Graffiti | Ninja (Brick Red)graffiti$54.4788.68 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x2h

Graffiti | Piggles (Monster Purple)graffiti$54.4788.68 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x2h

AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient$54.4788.68 coins$66.73109 coins1.22x2h

Graffiti | Ninja (Brick Red)graffiti$54.4788.68 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x2h

Graffiti | Lightbulb (Tracer Yellow)graffiti$54.4788.68 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x2h

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$150243 coins2.75x2h

Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$54.4788.68 coins$58.7495.62 coins1.08x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,474 (63.77x)