Commonwealth

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$814.47
1,326 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
77.73%
77 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
26 openings · below min
7 days
63 openings · below min
30 days
77 openings · below min
since tracking started
77 openings · below min
48.5%71.8%95.0%

Small sample. 77 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2669.95%±20.7—sample
7d6379.06%±15.1—sample
30d7777.73%±13.6—sample
All7777.73%±13.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$8141,326 coins$1,3972,275 coins1.72x
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$8141,326 coins$1,2782,080 coins1.57x
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$8141,326 coins$1,2782,080 coins1.57x
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$8141,326 coins$1,2782,080 coins1.57x
★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$8141,326 coins$1,2782,080 coins1.57x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8141,326 coins$1,1581,885 coins1.42x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8141,326 coins$1,1581,885 coins1.42x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8141,326 coins$1,1581,885 coins1.42x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$8141,326 coins$9181,495 coins1.13x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8141,326 coins$79.84130 coins0.10x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8141,326 coins$79.84130 coins0.10x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$8141,326 coins$8381,365 coins1.03x
AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covertGragas nữ 1 tạ$8141,326 coins$1,0381,690 coins1.27x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$8141,326 coins$79.84130 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,595 (3.19x)