Gamified Racism

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$17.22
28.03 coins
Advertised RTP
91.21%
EV $15.70 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Flappy Nirdother1 in 100,000$3,099 5,045 coins0.2%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 25,000$1,033 1,682 coins0.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)weapon · red · Emerald1 in 1,250$344 561 coins1.8%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 235$119 194 coins3.2%00.0—
AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 83$56.82 92.5 coins4.3%00.0—
USP-S | Overgrowth (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 59$48.21 78.48 coins5.2%00.0—
AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 35$42.18 68.67 coins7.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Moss Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 25$37.88 61.67 coins9.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 14$32.72 53.26 coins15.2%00.0—
MAC-10 | Graven (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 11$30.13 49.05 coins17.1%00.0—
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified11.4%$25.83 42.05 coins18.8%00.0—
AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec12.1%$21.52 35.04 coins16.6%00.0—
Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Dust Brown)graffiti · Common50.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:38 UTC$17.2291.21%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 0.0%extraordinary 0.4%red 0.1%covert 1.2%restricted 10.6%classified 14.3%industrial 4.0%mil spec 19.4%Common 50.0%