Pot Of Gold

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$136.08
222 coins
Advertised RTP
91.20%
EV $124.11 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
32.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
37.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 8,333$1,842 2,999 coins0.2%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 4,000$1,766 2,875 coins0.4%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 3,571$1,330 2,165 coins0.3%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 3,333$1,260 2,051 coins0.3%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 2,222$1,124 1,831 coins0.4%00.0—
★ Karambit | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,250$861 1,402 coins0.6%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 556$509 829 coins0.7%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 220$339 552 coins1.2%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 74$256 417 coins2.8%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 26$204 332 coins6.4%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 20$198 322 coins8.0%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · rare1 in 13$185 302 coins11.6%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife13.2%$176 286 coins18.6%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary16.0%$158 257 coins20.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Jet Set (Field-Tested)weapon · classified15.0%$143 233 coins17.3%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 10$84.04 137 coins6.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 13$38.93 63.37 coins2.3%00.0—
Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade20.0%$12.88 20.96 coins2.1%00.0—
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance, 13 Nov, 02:19 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:38 UTC$13691.20%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 11.1%extraordinary 16.2%gold 3.9%covert knife 18.6%rare 7.8%classified 22.4%Industrial Grade 20.0%