Quickscope

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.37
2.23 coins
Advertised RTP
91.18%
EV $1.25 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
52.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 100,000$112 182 coins0.1%00.0—
AWP | Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 50,000$95.67 156 coins0.2%00.0—
★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 33,333$85.88 140 coins0.2%00.0—
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested)gloves · gold1 in 6,250$61.42 99.98 coins0.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 12,500$49.10 79.93 coins0.3%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Battle-Scarred)gloves · sunny1 in 20,000$48.39 78.78 coins0.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 11,111$35.04 57.05 coins0.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$24.57 40 coins0.2%00.0—
AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 5,000$18.41 29.97 coins0.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Cartel (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee61 in 3,333$11.52 18.76 coins0.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 2,500$10.96 17.85 coins0.4%00.0—
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 1,250$8.10 13.19 coins0.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 562$4.85 7.9 coins0.7%00.0—
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 250$2.78 4.53 coins0.9%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 71$2.46 4.01 coins2.8%00.0—
P90 | Module (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 26$2.09 3.4 coins6.4%00.0—
AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 16$1.96 3.19 coins9.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 13$1.84 3 coins11.1%00.0—
MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted12.0%$1.71 2.79 coins16.5%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)weapon · covert15.6%$1.60 2.61 coins20.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec15.4%$1.35 2.2 coins16.7%00.0—
USP-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 11$0.86 1.4 coins6.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP7 | Akoben (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 15$0.37 0.6 coins1.9%00.0—
AUG | Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff21.5%$0.20 0.33 coins3.5%00.0—
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:48 UTC$1.3791.18%24
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 17.0%red 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%gold 0.0%Covert 0.0%sunny 0.0%#d32ee6 0.0%industrial 0.0%classified 0.7%mil spec 3.8%restricted 27.5%milspec 29.4%#4b69ff 21.5%