The Militia Collection

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

Price

$8.90

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

1572.53%

273 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

41 openings · below min

7 days

230 openings · below min

30 days

273 openings · below min

since tracking started

273 openings · below min

797.5%1907.8%3018.0%

Small sample. 273 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	41	1907.68%±1109.7	—	sample
7d	230	1638.05%±402.0	—	sample
30d	273	1572.53%±356.4	—	sample
All	273	1572.53%±356.4	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedGorgeous2004$8.90$1,016114.1x3d

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedPedro Akashi$8.90$1,015114.0x3d

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedPHGC_730$8.90$1,015114.0x3d

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedCutea$8.90$1,015114.0x2d

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedKABUTO$8.90$1,014113.9x2d

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedVarzzz$8.90$1,014113.9x2d

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedlDarkWorld$8.90$1,013113.8x2d

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedSKINBOX Panchez$8.90$1,012113.7x7d

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedИлья Сухов$8.90$1,011113.6x9h

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedPolluX$8.90$1,011113.6x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P2000 | Grassland Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialふくくろい//***$8.90$12.531.41x16m

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · restrictedЖИБЕРГ$8.90$1,006113.0x25m

Nova | Blaze Orange (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Gradehaddesgagan12$8.90$26.012.92x1h

Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1Сергей Побегайло$8.90$45.115.07x1h

P2000 | Grassland Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialСергей Побегайло$8.90$12.531.41x1h

Nova | Blaze Orange (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec GradeОЛЬГА БУЗОВА$8.90$26.012.92x3h

M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedGG 0$8.90$71.628.05x6h

SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedDogda$8.90$24.582.76x7h

Nova | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade𝙀𝙢𝙖𝙠友$8.90$36841.35x8h

Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1WHITE SLICED BREAD$8.90$50.615.69x8h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,016 (114.1x)