The Phoenix Collection

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

Price

$2.00

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

152.02%

13K openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

146.23%±42.491,563 openings

7 days

146.51%±15.4011.3K openings

30 days

152.02%±14.8213K openings

since tracking started

152.02%±14.8213K openings

103.0%146.3%189.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,563	146.23%±42.5	—	sample
7d	11.3K	146.51%±15.4	—	sample
30d	13K	152.02%±14.8	—	sample
All	13K	152.02%±14.8	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertLipskyy$2.00$396198.0x3d

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertДаниил Юраго$2.00$394196.9x13h

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertВлад Котов$2.00$384192.1x5d

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertFLAME$2.00$384192.1x5d

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertKertruska$2.00$384192.1x6d

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertGUWOP$2.00$377188.4x8d

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covertХимера Тв$2.00$288144.1x1d

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covertm0o0hammed$2.00$287143.5x2d

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covertnahorniy2005$2.00$287143.5x2d

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covertDommel$2.00$276138.2x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec54Fedase$2.00$1.130.57x3m

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecFlivveX$2.00$1.370.69x3m

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeSonic$2.00$1.210.61x4m

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecЩа буит мясо$2.00$1.130.57x4m

UMP-45 | Corporal (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecЩа буит мясо$2.00$1.180.59x4m

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeZICO$2.00$1.210.61x7m

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeОлександр Вдовенко$2.00$1.210.61x7m

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Gradeajuh48ajuh48ajuh$2.00$1.210.61x7m

Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specТурбосвин$2.00$1.030.52x13m

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeТурбосвин$2.00$1.210.61x13m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $396 (198.0x)