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Basiltrold Lucky Case

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

Price
$5.00
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.32%
6,959 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
804 openings · below min
7 days
92.77%±10.165,862 openings
30 days
94.32%±9.406,959 openings
since tracking started
94.32%±9.406,959 openings
63.0%91.5%120.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h80491.56%±28.0—sample
7d5,86292.77%±10.2—sample
30d6,95994.32%±9.40—sample
All6,95994.32%±9.40—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryFURKAN THE UNBEATEN$5.00$39278.47x
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryТима Каримов$5.00$38476.74x
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryВадим Шишкин$5.00$37675.23x
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryKABUTO$5.00$37675.23x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covertrumowuhawa$5.00$34168.25x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covertBot Arponen$5.00$32965.74x
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covertd-kuchinskiy$5.00$32564.96x
★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covertYorkkay$5.00$31963.84x
★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covertk3wL$5.00$31963.84x
★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear)knife · coverterikk alllirg$5.00$30961.70x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictednin dada$5.00$2.440.49x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedPeej yuh$5.00$2.440.49x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec`KvoN$5.00$2.360.47x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ffsaw$5.00$1.370.27x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ffТурбосвин$5.00$1.370.27x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violetDoki Poki$5.00$3.920.78x
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn)weapon · restrictedr1o$5.00$1.050.21x
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueY9giparovVv$5.00$3.840.77x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythicalhe threw$5.00$2.210.44x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalТурбосвин$5.00$2.210.44x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $392 (78.47x)