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Knife Talk

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

Price
$0.49
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
16108.54%
27 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
1 openings · below min
7 days
15 openings · below min
30 days
27 openings · below min
since tracking started
27 openings · below min
13429.5%15731.0%18032.5%

Small sample. 27 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h115136.73%±0.00—sample
7d1515501.63%±2071.7—sample
30d2716108.54%±1923.4—sample
All2716108.54%±1923.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covertValentina Martins$0.49$151309.0x
★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covertПуЛи_От_БаБуЛи$0.49$146297.7x
★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covertTheicedevil$0.49$143291.2x
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covertПупсень:D$0.49$78.98161.2x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife🍀 André.G 🍀csgofast.com🍀$0.49$78.95161.1x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeChris Farley's left nostril$0.49$78.57160.3x
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covertЛЮСЯ$0.49$77.42158.0x
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covertnestr0y_zero$0.49$77.42158.0x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeSokolucky csgofastx.com$0.49$77.07157.3x
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knifeDannyS$0.49$74.17151.4x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knifeDannyS$0.49$74.17151.4x
★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covertПуЛи_От_БаБуЛи$0.49$146297.7x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeSokolucky csgofastx.com$0.49$77.07157.3x
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife🍀 André.G 🍀csgofast.com🍀$0.49$78.95161.1x
★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covertMolinder @bandit$0.49$67.45137.7x
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knifeSokolucky csgofastx.com$0.49$74.17151.4x
★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knifeAss Eating Slasher$0.49$65.27133.2x
★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knifeBlack Thunder$0.49$65.27133.2x
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert§ΰßŘǾ§∀ ***$0.49$67.80138.4x
★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knifeKrey -$0.49$65.88134.4x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $151 (309.0x)