Outpost 31

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

Price

$1.31

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

367.26%

2,482 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

641 openings · below min

30 days

367.26%±35.762,482 openings

since tracking started

367.26%±35.762,482 openings

325.0%404.0%483.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	641	403.86%±78.3	—	sample
30d	2,482	367.26%±35.8	—	sample
All	2,482	367.26%±35.8	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedNa'Vi Woke$1.31$91.9270.17x8d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified<<Mario>>$1.31$91.4869.83x8d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedMr_Tvister64$1.31$91.4869.83x8d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedleTimo297$1.31$91.4869.83x8d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classifieditfytdv$1.31$91.4869.83x8d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedСмотри на меня!$1.31$90.0768.76x9d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classifiedsweaty spaghetti$1.31$89.9568.66x6d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified4/20/BEAR$1.31$89.9568.66x6d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedДима Дербенев$1.31$89.9568.66x6d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classifiedxaker00003$1.31$89.9568.66x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffsdffgxvb$1.31$1.100.84x6d

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecI_Amigo_I$1.31$1.050.80x6d

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspecNatan :p$1.31$3.902.98x6d

AUG | Plague (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec✪ Tug4Banned$1.31$1.000.76x6d

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecgabrielFPS$1.31$1.050.80x6d

SSG 08 | Necropos (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ffBAMF$1.31$4.083.11x6d

AUG | Plague (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec GradeKrockendra$1.31$3.802.90x6d

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffrezak(-_-)$1.31$1.100.84x6d

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedneRdbeEre CSGOFAST.COM$1.31$1.290.98x6d

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecKisllbarn$1.31$1.050.80x6d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $91.92 (70.17x)